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Thursday, June 13, 2013

Hope is not a strategy : The demand for Mopa

The ICAO Report in 2007 was commissioned by the Goa Government. ICAO was asked to examine the possibility of operating both Mopa and Dabolim. The ICAO Report concluded that air traffic of 28 million per year would be the minimum needed to make this strategy economically viable. Goa's traffic is currently only 3.5 million. Mopa comes online in 2016-17. Where will this incredible increase come from ?

As this article goes on to show, there are no real executable plans in place. The Regional Plan 2021 has nothing that supports such an increase. The Goa Vision 2035 is only a vision, possibly more a mirage. The Tourism Master Plan is still in development. The Goa Investment & Industrial Policy 2013, which is expected shortly, is also not a strategy or a plan of execution. We are lead to the inevitable conclusion that the proposal for Mopa is a castle in the sky - with foundations of hot air.

Given that a very substantial part of the resources of Goa will be poured into Mopa, this is a very worrisome situation. And we have numerous recent examples of failed greenfield airports from around the world to give us pause for consideration.